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Akash R's avatar

Sir, frequency of your posts has reduced drastically. I suppose you are up to building new systems and thats keeping you busy and away from writing blogs.

Rajesh Achanta's avatar

This is the supply-side twin of an argument I made about the last meter so I agree with most of what you say.

Two floors I'd want to slide beneath the flywheel, though, because I think they decide whether it spins at all.

The first is judgment. You write that Claude Tag and Unitree "do not decide what is worth doing — that can only come from the process of experimentation." But experimentation doesn't reveal what's worth doing; it reveals what works against an objective someone already chose. Hayekian discovery optimises toward a target it can neither set nor audit—it won't notice when the metric has drifted from the thing the metric was standing in for. The scarce input imo isn't the search. It's the judgment that picks what to search for and recognises when an answer is precise but wrong.

The second is culture, and it's something many overlook. The flywheel unlocks, in your telling, once robots and coordination get cheap enough. But the garbage-can organisations you describe are precisely the ones that won't run the experiments or adopt what's found, and the reason is rarely price. Surfacing tacit knowledge threatens the people who hold it; tolerating failed runs cuts against how most firms are actually managed. Cheap access has been around a while now, and adoption still varies wildly firm to firm—the gating variable looks more like management quality than cost. (I've worked through some of this recently—the bottleneck is seldom the technology. If you're curious: https://rajeshachanta.substack.com/p/the-doorman-and-deepseek)

And one extension rather than a quibble, because this is where your vantage might sharpen mine. "The garbage can becomes visible enough to be worked on" is a line I keep turning over. Legibility is progress but the unwritten rules in the can are often load-bearing because they resisted measurement. Making the mess visible isn't the same as knowing which parts of it were holding the place up. So a question back to you, since you read this through an economist's lens: does the Hayekian process have any way to preserve the load-bearing illegible—or does cheap experimentation systematically select against the tacit value it can't yet score? That feels like a hinge to me.

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